Here are some links to predictions about ECM trends for 2012.  Which are likely?  Which are bunk?

Reliving 2006?  Maybe – http://protikmukhopadhyay.wordpress.com/2012/02/10/2012-ecm-trends/

The view from EMC – some seriously inverted predictions here – about what you’d expect from EMC http://emccrazycontent.com/2011/12/27/top-5-ecm-trends-in-2012/

Nails mobile, cloud & open source.  Overly optimistic on CMIS http://www.wewebu.com/en/blog/5-trends-will-drive-ecm-market-2012

A good explanation but not sure if these are trends or just market analysis.  In 2 parts. Part 1: http://www.cmswire.com/cms/information-management/information-management-will-never-be-the-same-2012-enterprise-cms-trends-013604.php  Part 2: http://www.cmswire.com/cms/information-management/enterprise-cms-will-never-be-the-same-2012-enterprise-cms-trends-part-2-013715.php

Predictions in a trade show brief.  Well Tapping trends is how they drive attendance so their livelihood is tied more closely to being right.  Pay attention: http://www.cebit.de/en/about-the-trade-show/topics-trends/news/ihre-persoenlichen-cebit-news-2012/your-cebit-news-cw-49/ecm-trends-in-2012-social-mobile-cloud

Simplicity for the win: http://infiniteblend.blogspot.com/2012/02/upgrade-to-more-simple-and-other-ecm.html

These are all fun reading but the last one has my vote.  Simplicity reigns as the overbloated ECM suites struggle with adoption and realization of all their promises.

Remember that Simplicity Raises Adoption.  Adoption Boosts Consistency.  Consistency Achieves ROI.